Polymarket Paper Research Engine

Equity$1000.00Cash $1000.00

Net P&L$0.00Trading $0.00 · DD $0.00

Open positions00 unhedged

External research signals0no persisted signals

ExperimentIDLE1h 18m uptime

Market scanner

80 outcomes

Market / asset	Bid	Ask	Spread	Depth	Age
4465889DOGE · UP	—	0.0100	—	$11700.50	1s
4465969DOGE · UP	—	0.0100	—	$106709.12	2s
4466046HYPE · DOWN	0.4700	0.5300	600bp	$23038.48	2s
4466037DOGE · DOWN	0.4500	0.4900	400bp	$19757.09	0s
4465893XRP · UP	—	0.0100	—	$119472.63	3s
4465972HYPE · UP	—	0.0100	—	$106539.18	0s
4466046HYPE · UP	0.4700	0.5300	600bp	$23038.48	2s
4465893XRP · DOWN	0.9900	—	—	$79469.14	3s
4465898SOL · UP	0.9900	—	—	$80309.61	3s
4465898SOL · DOWN	—	0.0100	—	$119450.67	3s
4465901BTC · UP	—	0.0100	—	$120815.95	1s
4465901BTC · DOWN	0.9900	—	—	$121579.39	1s
4466029SOL · UP	0.6100	0.6200	100bp	$20794.42	0s
4465889DOGE · DOWN	0.9900	—	—	$61858.78	1s
4466039BNB · UP	0.4300	0.4600	300bp	$5361.85	0s
4466039BNB · DOWN	0.5400	0.5700	300bp	$5394.15	0s
4466037DOGE · UP	0.5100	0.5500	400bp	$19882.25	0s
4465969DOGE · DOWN	0.9900	—	—	$57469.13	2s
4465972HYPE · DOWN	0.9900	—	—	$43878.93	0s
4466029SOL · DOWN	0.3800	0.3900	100bp	$20475.93	0s
4466040HYPE · UP	0.4900	0.5300	400bp	$4812.60	0s
4465967XRP · UP	—	0.0010	—	$118523.49	1s
4465971ETH · DOWN	0.9900	—	—	$115884.43	3s
4466026BTC · UP	0.5000	0.5100	100bp	$35796.09	0s
4466040HYPE · DOWN	0.4700	0.5100	400bp	$4808.40	0s
4466108ZEC · UP	0.0200	0.9800	9600bp	$319.18	32s
4466026BTC · DOWN	0.4900	0.5000	100bp	$37017.69	0s
4466106HYPE · DOWN	0.4900	0.5000	100bp	$18417.12	50s
4466108ZEC · DOWN	0.0200	0.9800	9600bp	$318.82	32s
4465971ETH · UP	—	0.0100	—	$119215.26	3s
4466041SOL · DOWN	0.4400	0.4800	400bp	$8167.46	0s
4465899BNB · UP	—	0.0100	—	$24392.79	3s
4466035HYPE · UP	0.4700	0.5200	500bp	$10468.07	0s
4466036BTC · DOWN	0.5000	0.5100	100bp	$20549.67	0s
4466035HYPE · DOWN	0.4800	0.5300	500bp	$9560.50	0s
4465899BNB · DOWN	0.9900	—	—	$71724.43	3s
4466036BTC · UP	0.4900	0.5000	100bp	$20480.90	0s
4465967XRP · DOWN	0.9990	—	—	$130884.72	1s
4466041SOL · UP	0.5200	0.5600	400bp	$7729.04	0s
4466106HYPE · UP	0.5000	0.5100	100bp	$18414.86	50s
4466038XRP · DOWN	0.5000	0.5200	200bp	$8483.39	0s
4465970BNB · UP	—	0.0100	—	$107586.18	3s
4465892ETH · UP	—	0.0010	—	$119096.27	1s
4466038XRP · UP	0.4800	0.5000	200bp	$8393.27	0s
4466109DOGE · UP	0.4900	0.5100	200bp	$50815.92	50s
4466028XRP · DOWN	0.5100	0.5300	200bp	$21421.26	0s
4466109DOGE · DOWN	0.4900	0.5100	200bp	$50815.92	50s
4466043XRP · DOWN	0.4900	0.5100	200bp	$80139.49	2s
4465892ETH · DOWN	0.9990	—	—	$133694.92	1s
4466031BNB · UP	0.3700	0.3900	200bp	$20088.17	0s
4466028XRP · UP	0.4700	0.4900	200bp	$21366.40	0s
4466030DOGE · UP	0.4800	0.5300	500bp	$5852.63	0s
4466031BNB · DOWN	0.6100	0.6300	200bp	$20142.17	0s
4466030DOGE · DOWN	0.4700	0.5200	500bp	$6055.37	0s
4466043XRP · UP	0.4900	0.5100	200bp	$80629.49	2s
4465903HYPE · UP	—	0.0100	—	$119254.98	0s
4465970BNB · DOWN	0.9900	—	—	$59117.10	3s
4466044SOL · UP	0.4900	0.5100	200bp	$80461.87	2s
4465903HYPE · DOWN	0.9900	—	—	$63185.13	0s
4466044SOL · DOWN	0.4900	0.5100	200bp	$80961.41	2s
4466042BTC · UP	0.5000	0.5100	100bp	$163896.60	0s
4466107XRP · DOWN	0.4900	0.5000	100bp	$76602.74	50s
4465966BTC · UP	—	0.0100	—	$122452.88	0s
4466105BTC · UP	0.5000	0.5100	100bp	$157120.22	0s
4465968SOL · UP	—	0.0100	—	$118770.98	1s
4466047BNB · UP	0.4900	0.5100	200bp	$55263.75	2s
4465968SOL · DOWN	0.9900	—	—	$92089.83	1s
4466049DOGE · DOWN	0.4900	0.5100	200bp	$55567.93	2s
4466032ETH · DOWN	0.4600	0.4800	200bp	$9220.44	0s
4466047BNB · DOWN	0.4900	0.5100	200bp	$54774.55	2s
4466042BTC · DOWN	0.4900	0.5000	100bp	$157922.07	0s
4466033ETH · DOWN	0.4700	0.4800	100bp	$20306.24	0s
4466048ETH · DOWN	0.4900	0.5000	100bp	$150532.65	0s
4466032ETH · UP	0.5200	0.5400	200bp	$9476.17	0s
4466105BTC · DOWN	0.4900	0.5000	100bp	$157027.90	0s
4466049DOGE · UP	0.4900	0.5100	200bp	$55539.43	2s
4466107XRP · UP	0.5000	0.5100	100bp	$75978.92	50s
4466033ETH · UP	0.5200	0.5300	100bp	$20532.03	0s
4466048ETH · UP	0.5000	0.5100	100bp	$152947.08	0s
4465966BTC · DOWN	0.9900	—	—	$145332.57	0s

Equity, fills & drawdown

0 persisted fills

Gross $0.00Realized $0.00Unrealized $0.00Fees $0.00Slippage $0.00Fills 0Infra $0.00

Discovery (persisted)

MONITORING · 40 qualified · 100 rejected shown

Slug	Asset	Tokens / reasons
doge-updown-…89214400	DOGE	2 tokens
eth-updown-1…89214400	ETH	2 tokens
xrp-updown-1…89214400	XRP	2 tokens
sol-updown-1…89214400	SOL	2 tokens
bnb-updown-1…89214400	BNB	2 tokens
btc-updown-1…89214400	BTC	2 tokens
hype-updown-…89214400	HYPE	2 tokens
sol-updown-5m-1789215000	SOL	2 tokens
xrp-updown-5m-1789215000	XRP	2 tokens
doge-updown-…89215000	DOGE	2 tokens
bnb-updown-5m-1789215000	BNB	2 tokens
btc-updown-5m-1789215000	BTC	2 tokens
eth-updown-5m-1789215000	ETH	2 tokens
hype-updown-…89215000	HYPE	2 tokens
xrp-updown-5m-1789215300	XRP	2 tokens
btc-updown-5m-1789215300	BTC	2 tokens
sol-updown-5m-1789215300	SOL	2 tokens
bnb-updown-5m-1789215300	BNB	2 tokens
eth-updown-5m-1789215300	ETH	2 tokens
hype-updown-…89215300	HYPE	2 tokens
doge-updown-…89215300	DOGE	2 tokens
xrp-updown-5m-1789215600	XRP	2 tokens
btc-updown-5m-1789215600	BTC	2 tokens
hype-updown-…89215600	HYPE	2 tokens
sol-updown-5m-1789215600	SOL	2 tokens
eth-updown-5m-1789215600	ETH	2 tokens
bnb-updown-5m-1789215600	BNB	2 tokens
doge-updown-…89215600	DOGE	2 tokens
doge-updown-…89215300	DOGE	2 tokens
eth-updown-1…89215300	ETH	2 tokens
btc-updown-1…89215300	BTC	2 tokens
bnb-updown-1…89215300	BNB	2 tokens
xrp-updown-1…89215300	XRP	2 tokens
hype-updown-…89215300	HYPE	2 tokens
sol-updown-1…89215300	SOL	2 tokens
btc-updown-5m-1789215900	BTC	2 tokens
zec-updown-5m-1789215900	ZEC	2 tokens
xrp-updown-5m-1789215900	XRP	2 tokens
hype-updown-…89215900	HYPE	2 tokens
doge-updown-…89215900	DOGE	2 tokens
zec-updown-1…89214400	—	INSUFFICIENT_LIQUIDITY, SPREAD_TOO_WIDE
zec-updown-5m-1789215000	—	SPREAD_TOO_WIDE
zec-updown-5m-1789215300	—	INSUFFICIENT_LIQUIDITY, SPREAD_TOO_WIDE
zec-updown-5m-1789215600	—	INSUFFICIENT_LIQUIDITY, SPREAD_TOO_WIDE
zec-updown-1…89215300	—	INSUFFICIENT_LIQUIDITY, SPREAD_TOO_WIDE
zec-updown-5m-1789216200	—	INSUFFICIENT_LIQUIDITY, SPREAD_TOO_WIDE
zec-updown-1…89216200	—	INSUFFICIENT_LIQUIDITY, SPREAD_TOO_WIDE
zec-updown-5m-1789217400	—	INSUFFICIENT_LIQUIDITY, SPREAD_TOO_WIDE

Grok Bot roles

external research only · no order tools

market_microstructure_scanner

Market Microstructure Scanner

IDLE

Confidence: —
Freshness: —
Last signal: —

No persisted signal.

crypto_market_scanner

Crypto Market Scanner

IDLE

Confidence: —
Freshness: —
Last signal: —

No persisted signal.

news_x_intelligence_scanner

News / X Intelligence

IDLE

Confidence: —
Freshness: —
Last signal: —

No persisted signal.

fair_probability_analyst

Fair Probability Analyst

IDLE

Confidence: —
Freshness: —
Last signal: —

No persisted signal.

risk_hedge_analyst

Risk & Hedge Analyst

IDLE

Confidence: —
Freshness: —
Last signal: —

No persisted signal.

strategy_supervisor

Strategy Supervisor

IDLE

Confidence: —
Freshness: —
Last signal: —

No persisted signal.

Consensus, disagreements & risk veto

level 1

FLAT50.0% confidence · 0bp raw edge · 100% fresh · 100% agreementMarket 0.0100 · Fair — · Fees $0.00 · Slippage $0.00

NOT RUN

No risk evaluation has been persisted.

Risk utilization unavailable.

System health

event latency 0.06312499940395355ms

Enginequeue 0 · DB UP

ALIVE

Discoveryloop active

MONITORING

Market monitoring40 qualified · WS CONNECTED

ACTIVE

Reference feedsXRP CONNECTED · BNB CONNECTED · ETH CONNECTED · DOGE CONNECTED · SOL CONNECTED · BTC CONNECTED · ZEC CONNECTED

7/7 up

Grok MCP0 unattributed polls · 0 unauthorized

WAITING

Paper positions

0 active

No paper positions.

Grok Bot activity

0 accepted · 0 duplicates

Market Microstructure Scanner

Crypto Market Scanner

News / X Intelligence

Fair Probability Analyst

Risk & Hedge Analyst

Strategy Supervisor

Decision & audit feed

trace-linked

12:15:11 PMNATIVE_DECISION_COMPLETE4466035 · HYPEtrace_a84e1c99-59f1-4b10-8fcd-96c0e08d2e48

12:15:11 PMNATIVE_DECISION_EVALUATION4466035 · HYPEtrace_a84e1c99-59f1-4b10-8fcd-96c0e08d2e48

12:15:11 PMTRIGGER_LEVEL_14466035 · HYPEtrace_a84e1c99-59f1-4b10-8fcd-96c0e08d2e48

12:15:11 PMNATIVE_DECISION_COMPLETE4466039 · BNBtrace_09f16658-86b1-4bba-ba14-21319ec368c3

12:15:11 PMNATIVE_DECISION_EVALUATION4466039 · BNBtrace_09f16658-86b1-4bba-ba14-21319ec368c3

12:15:11 PMTRIGGER_LEVEL_14466039 · BNBtrace_09f16658-86b1-4bba-ba14-21319ec368c3

12:15:11 PMNATIVE_DECISION_COMPLETE4466030 · DOGEtrace_48bf85e2-aaba-48d4-8ea3-c25c109c1360

12:15:11 PMNATIVE_DECISION_EVALUATION4466030 · DOGEtrace_48bf85e2-aaba-48d4-8ea3-c25c109c1360

12:15:11 PMTRIGGER_LEVEL_14466030 · DOGEtrace_48bf85e2-aaba-48d4-8ea3-c25c109c1360

12:15:11 PMNATIVE_DECISION_EVALUATION4465972 · HYPEtrace_65636b2c-44b4-4ff0-aa8f-c3f2d9340a53

12:15:11 PMTRIGGER_LEVEL_24465972 · HYPEtrace_65636b2c-44b4-4ff0-aa8f-c3f2d9340a53

12:15:10 PMNATIVE_DECISION_COMPLETE4466033 · ETHtrace_b77abab1-f878-4e05-b5e0-6667dd4ab51f

12:15:10 PMNATIVE_DECISION_EVALUATION4466033 · ETHtrace_b77abab1-f878-4e05-b5e0-6667dd4ab51f

12:15:10 PMTRIGGER_LEVEL_14466033 · ETHtrace_b77abab1-f878-4e05-b5e0-6667dd4ab51f

12:15:10 PMNATIVE_DECISION_COMPLETE4466036 · BTCtrace_ca9d5b9b-361f-4e4a-9a90-acdddfc15296

12:15:10 PMNATIVE_DECISION_EVALUATION4466036 · BTCtrace_ca9d5b9b-361f-4e4a-9a90-acdddfc15296

12:15:10 PMTRIGGER_LEVEL_14466036 · BTCtrace_ca9d5b9b-361f-4e4a-9a90-acdddfc15296

12:15:10 PMNATIVE_DECISION_COMPLETE4466038 · XRPtrace_56f09755-fcfa-400f-94df-a59a29aff30a

12:15:10 PMNATIVE_DECISION_EVALUATION4466038 · XRPtrace_56f09755-fcfa-400f-94df-a59a29aff30a

12:15:10 PMTRIGGER_LEVEL_14466038 · XRPtrace_56f09755-fcfa-400f-94df-a59a29aff30a

12:15:10 PMNATIVE_DECISION_COMPLETE4466105 · BTCtrace_df483991-84d7-4075-9269-cb1dc1fddaec

12:15:10 PMNATIVE_DECISION_EVALUATION4466105 · BTCtrace_df483991-84d7-4075-9269-cb1dc1fddaec

12:15:10 PMTRIGGER_LEVEL_14466105 · BTCtrace_df483991-84d7-4075-9269-cb1dc1fddaec

12:15:10 PMNATIVE_DECISION_COMPLETE4466037 · DOGEtrace_3f5939e0-e22e-46a4-b97e-00c617c27ed6

12:15:10 PMNATIVE_DECISION_EVALUATION4466037 · DOGEtrace_3f5939e0-e22e-46a4-b97e-00c617c27ed6

12:15:10 PMTRIGGER_LEVEL_14466037 · DOGEtrace_3f5939e0-e22e-46a4-b97e-00c617c27ed6

12:15:10 PMNATIVE_DECISION_EVALUATION4465903 · HYPEtrace_64982b27-4b07-499c-8fbb-84df9289c591

12:15:10 PMTRIGGER_LEVEL_24465903 · HYPEtrace_64982b27-4b07-499c-8fbb-84df9289c591

12:15:10 PMNATIVE_DECISION_EVALUATION4465903 · HYPEtrace_64982b27-4b07-499c-8fbb-84df9289c591

12:15:10 PMTRIGGER_LEVEL_24465903 · HYPEtrace_64982b27-4b07-499c-8fbb-84df9289c591

12:15:10 PMNATIVE_DECISION_EVALUATION4465968 · SOLtrace_9e7bfdf1-b4ca-4a16-9dc7-bbb9e0b67f5c

12:15:10 PMTRIGGER_LEVEL_24465968 · SOLtrace_9e7bfdf1-b4ca-4a16-9dc7-bbb9e0b67f5c

12:15:10 PMNATIVE_DECISION_EVALUATION4465972 · HYPEtrace_c8468bfe-513f-47e6-94a4-9edbc1da7a43

12:15:10 PMTRIGGER_LEVEL_24465972 · HYPEtrace_c8468bfe-513f-47e6-94a4-9edbc1da7a43

12:15:10 PMNATIVE_DECISION_COMPLETE4466032 · ETHtrace_75643c8f-2fdf-4913-9e8e-2c269a8ba50e

12:15:10 PMNATIVE_DECISION_EVALUATION4466032 · ETHtrace_75643c8f-2fdf-4913-9e8e-2c269a8ba50e

12:15:10 PMTRIGGER_LEVEL_14466032 · ETHtrace_75643c8f-2fdf-4913-9e8e-2c269a8ba50e

12:15:10 PMNATIVE_DECISION_COMPLETE4466037 · DOGEtrace_a05ed613-a7cc-4d7f-a8b7-f1658f5884ff

12:15:10 PMNATIVE_DECISION_EVALUATION4466037 · DOGEtrace_a05ed613-a7cc-4d7f-a8b7-f1658f5884ff

12:15:10 PMTRIGGER_LEVEL_14466037 · DOGEtrace_a05ed613-a7cc-4d7f-a8b7-f1658f5884ff

12:15:10 PMNATIVE_DECISION_COMPLETE4466036 · BTCtrace_07d9a198-f76b-4a98-93c7-3fe8a9440477

12:15:10 PMNATIVE_DECISION_EVALUATION4466036 · BTCtrace_07d9a198-f76b-4a98-93c7-3fe8a9440477

12:15:10 PMTRIGGER_LEVEL_14466036 · BTCtrace_07d9a198-f76b-4a98-93c7-3fe8a9440477

12:15:10 PMNATIVE_DECISION_COMPLETE4466042 · BTCtrace_deb851fc-3ad6-4d57-99c5-03563d335512

12:15:10 PMNATIVE_DECISION_EVALUATION4466042 · BTCtrace_deb851fc-3ad6-4d57-99c5-03563d335512

12:15:10 PMTRIGGER_LEVEL_14466042 · BTCtrace_deb851fc-3ad6-4d57-99c5-03563d335512

12:15:09 PMNATIVE_DECISION_COMPLETE4466030 · DOGEtrace_92a093f2-1222-4ef3-ad74-21af7b3482cf

12:15:09 PMNATIVE_DECISION_EVALUATION4466030 · DOGEtrace_92a093f2-1222-4ef3-ad74-21af7b3482cf

12:15:09 PMTRIGGER_LEVEL_24466030 · DOGEtrace_92a093f2-1222-4ef3-ad74-21af7b3482cf

12:15:09 PMNATIVE_DECISION_COMPLETE4466033 · ETHtrace_8e605cc0-18a0-4b31-aad7-96f4eadca396

Grok activation (persisted only)

200 adapter results · wake not claimed from generic MCP

12:15:11 PMnative_deterministic failedNATIVE_DETERMINISTIC_ONLYtrigger_abfa14f8-2def-4423-910c-b1c118e23945

12:15:11 PMnative_deterministic failedNATIVE_DETERMINISTIC_ONLYtrigger_4b5c4c1e-8a29-47c0-b09c-4bde99b6295d

12:15:11 PMnative_deterministic failedNATIVE_DETERMINISTIC_ONLYtrigger_b0b84374-b44f-4cae-b648-c61511428bd2

12:15:11 PMnative_deterministic failedNATIVE_DETERMINISTIC_ONLYtrigger_5a0fa407-5d0c-468b-a714-2708e35cf0fa

12:15:10 PMnative_deterministic failedNATIVE_DETERMINISTIC_ONLYtrigger_1e20d231-1393-4354-a25f-1f95855b176f

12:15:10 PMnative_deterministic failedNATIVE_DETERMINISTIC_ONLYtrigger_2d6c8079-d291-4843-b8bf-458e81d72882

12:15:10 PMnative_deterministic failedNATIVE_DETERMINISTIC_ONLYtrigger_909b73c8-f60b-4390-b3c1-57ccb3f9358a

12:15:10 PMnative_deterministic failedNATIVE_DETERMINISTIC_ONLYtrigger_6dd42ddd-b109-482a-b3d9-965467b6487d

12:15:10 PMnative_deterministic failedNATIVE_DETERMINISTIC_ONLYtrigger_96e8884b-bc46-4180-a9f9-a48f71b696f7

12:15:10 PMnative_deterministic failedNATIVE_DETERMINISTIC_ONLYtrigger_8ebe010c-21fa-47de-bd89-60a294005d85

12:15:10 PMnative_deterministic failedNATIVE_DETERMINISTIC_ONLYtrigger_ec63395a-16a4-4cb2-bf0b-58ac0b1a9af4

12:15:10 PMnative_deterministic failedNATIVE_DETERMINISTIC_ONLYtrigger_1ba6f893-c7ea-479e-83f7-b76e9e97cd15

12:15:10 PMnative_deterministic failedNATIVE_DETERMINISTIC_ONLYtrigger_29da3b7f-85f7-4674-bcdc-169927caccb7

12:15:10 PMnative_deterministic failedNATIVE_DETERMINISTIC_ONLYtrigger_f5717cd8-1986-4bb4-8d32-76cf9d02bd7c

12:15:10 PMnative_deterministic failedNATIVE_DETERMINISTIC_ONLYtrigger_14761a57-c8e5-49e9-952a-dffd2b5b9a39

12:15:10 PMnative_deterministic failedNATIVE_DETERMINISTIC_ONLYtrigger_366f2e46-904b-4423-ae7d-a6cdad14cbc6

12:15:10 PMnative_deterministic failedNATIVE_DETERMINISTIC_ONLYtrigger_14a16f63-8e8d-4988-a986-25cce80ab8bb

12:15:09 PMnative_deterministic failedNATIVE_DETERMINISTIC_ONLYtrigger_c4d80a4b-88b2-460a-9194-1da2872c1f9d

12:15:09 PMnative_deterministic failedNATIVE_DETERMINISTIC_ONLYtrigger_98c88fda-b684-4eda-b079-4275acc5c0bb

12:15:09 PMnative_deterministic failedNATIVE_DETERMINISTIC_ONLYtrigger_27596177-b89b-4cd4-970a-2d886b53dcbd